Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Owen Tippett vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Owen Tippett projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Tippett had 51 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Tippett has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tippett for 2.0 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Owen Tippett has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tippett's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.0, 20+ mph bursts 388, Forecheck xG /60 0.35.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone start % 53.7%, On-ice PDO 1006.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Owen Tippett

1.73

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Owen Tippett has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTippettToffoli
Goals (+2)0.610.45
Assists (+1)0.250.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.21
Hits (+0.1)0.240.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tippett vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TippettToffoli
5Team record in 8 meetings3
4Points in those games4

Tippett 3G 1A, 37 SOG · Toffoli 3G 1A, 16 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tippett's side)

2:34 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Tippett's side

Shot attempts
2–1
66.7%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
33.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Owen Tippett and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreTippettToffoli
2025-12-09PHI 4–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-31PHI 4–0 SJS0G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-11PHI 4–3 SJS0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-17PHI 3–6 NJD2G 0A 10S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-19PHI 3–2 NJD1G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-30PHI 3–4 NJD0G 0A 5S1G 1A 4S
2023-02-20PHI 4–3 CGY0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-21PHI 2–5 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TippettToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Owen Tippett

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to RWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR2.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Owen Tippett or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Owen Tippett projects to 1.73 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Tippett had 51 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Owen Tippett or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Owen Tippett leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tippett and Toffoli done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Tippett's team went 5–3. Tippett had 4 points (3 goals) and Toffoli had 4 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →