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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Dorofeyev vs Tage Thompson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week Dorofeyev has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 57.0%.

Thompson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 390, Hits 85, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDorofeyevThompson
Goals (+2)0.860.93
Assists (+1)0.330.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.34
Hits (+0.1)0.030.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dorofeyev vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DorofeyevThompson
1Team record in 4 meetings3
2Points in those games2

Dorofeyev 2G 0A, 13 SOG · Thompson 1G 1A, 12 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Dorofeyev blocked 1 of Thompson's shots; Thompson blocked 0 of Dorofeyev's.

On the ice against each other (Dorofeyev's side)

8:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dorofeyev's side

Shot attempts
7–5
58.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
56.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Dorofeyev and Tage Thompson
DateScoreDorofeyevThompson
2026-03-17VGK 0–2 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2026-03-03VGK 2–3 BUF1G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-15VGK 3–4 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2025-01-04VGK 3–1 BUF0G 0A 5S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DorofeyevThompson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Dorofeyev or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Dorofeyev or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dorofeyev and Thompson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Dorofeyev's team went 1–3. Dorofeyev had 2 points (2 goals) and Thompson had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →