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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Dorofeyev vs Tyler Toffoli

Pavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wingvsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Dorofeyev has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Corsi 56.0%, Ascension score 53.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 6, Hits 48, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDorofeyevToffoli
Goals (+2)0.860.45
Assists (+1)0.330.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.21
Hits (+0.1)0.030.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dorofeyev vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DorofeyevToffoli
9Team record in 11 meetings2
13Points in those games12

Dorofeyev 6G 7A, 38 SOG · Toffoli 6G 6A, 29 SOG

On the ice against each other (Dorofeyev's side)

12:21 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Dorofeyev's side

Shot attempts
16–11
59.3%
Expected goals
0.8–0.4
64.0%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Dorofeyev and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDorofeyevToffoli
2026-01-11VGK 7–2 SJS1G 2A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-23VGK 7–2 SJS0G 2A 5S0G 2A 1S
2025-11-29VGK 4–3 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-09VGK 4–3 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-07VGK 4–2 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-27VGK 6–3 SJS1G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-10-26VGK 7–3 SJS1G 2A 9S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28VGK 4–1 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-22VGK 5–6 NJD1G 0A 2S3G 0A 7S
2023-03-23VGK 3–2 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-16VGK 2–7 CGY0G 0A 2S2G 2A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DorofeyevToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Dorofeyev or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Dorofeyev or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dorofeyev and Toffoli done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Dorofeyev's team went 9–2. Dorofeyev had 13 points (6 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →