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Who to start · 2025-26

Robert Thomas vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Robert ThomasRobert ThomasBlues · CentrevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Thomas has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Thomas for 1.9 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Robert Thomas has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Thomas's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Plus/minus +22, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.5, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Transition attempts /60 1.26.

Head to head on the dot, Thomas leads Nugent-Hopkins 23–18.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Robert Thomas

2.01

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromThomasNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.780.56
Assists (+1)0.610.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.18
Hits (+0.1)0.020.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Thomas vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ThomasNugent-Hopkins
10Team record in 18 meetings8
21Points in those games12

Thomas 8G 13A, 34 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 7A, 47 SOG

23Faceoffs against each other18

Thomas's offensive zone 15–8 · neutral 2–6 · Thomas's defensive zone 6–4 (2019-20 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Thomas blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 2 of Thomas's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Thomas's side)

9:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Thomas's side

Shot attempts
9–6
60.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
37.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Robert Thomas and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreThomasNugent-Hopkins
2025-11-03STL 3–2 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 2A 0S
2025-02-04STL 2–3 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-07STL 2–4 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-01STL 3–2 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-28STL 2–3 EDM1G 1A 1S0G 2A 2S
2024-02-15STL 6–3 EDM1G 2A 4S1G 0A 2S
2022-12-15STL 4–3 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 1A 3S
2022-10-26STL 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2022-10-22STL 2–0 EDM0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-01STL 5–6 EDM1G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-29STL 4–2 EDM1G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2021-11-14STL 4–5 EDM0G 3A 1S1G 0A 8S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ThomasNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Robert Thomas

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −16.8 win%vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Robert Thomas or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Robert Thomas or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Thomas and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Thomas's team went 10–8. Thomas had 21 points (8 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 12 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Thomas or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Thomas has won 23 and Nugent-Hopkins 18 of their 41 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →