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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Steven Stamkos

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Stamkos has 1 left. We project Stamkos for 1.6 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Steven Stamkos has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.26, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Assists 36.

Stamkos's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 57.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.085, Hits 89.

Head to head on the dot, Stamkos leads Nugent-Hopkins 13–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Steven Stamkos

2.05

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Steven Stamkos has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsStamkos
Goals (+2)0.561.02
Assists (+1)0.500.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.25
Hits (+0.1)0.030.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Stamkos

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsStamkos
7Team record in 14 meetings7
11Points in those games16

Nugent-Hopkins 2G 9A, 33 SOG · Stamkos 11G 5A, 51 SOG

11Faceoffs against each other13

Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 4–4 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 6–6 (2017-18 to 2024-25)

1Shots blocked by the other0

Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Stamkos's shots; Stamkos blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

10:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
17–5
77.3%
Expected goals
1.0–0.2
82.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Steven Stamkos
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsStamkos
2026-03-15EDM 3–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-13EDM 3–4 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2026-01-06EDM 6–2 NSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-14EDM 3–2 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-31EDM 5–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-17EDM 4–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-14EDM 4–7 TBL1G 2A 6S4G 0A 7S
2023-11-18EDM 4–6 TBL0G 2A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-01-19EDM 5–3 TBL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-08EDM 3–2 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2022-02-23EDM 3–5 TBL0G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2018-12-22EDM 3–6 TBL1G 1A 3S2G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsStamkos

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Steven Stamkos

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.6 pts
    Schedule edge +12.4 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Steven Stamkos in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Steven Stamkos projects to 2.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Stamkos had 66 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Steven Stamkos?
On 2025-26 numbers, Steven Stamkos leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Stamkos done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 7–7. Nugent-Hopkins had 11 points (2 goals) and Stamkos had 16 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Stamkos?
Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 11 and Stamkos 13 of their 24 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →