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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Timo Meier

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsTimo MeierTimo MeierDevils · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 2.0 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Luck Meter −23.

Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Fenwick 54.0%, Blocked shots 53.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsMeier
Goals (+2)0.560.62
Assists (+1)0.500.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.35
Hits (+0.1)0.030.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsMeier
10Team record in 21 meetings11
17Points in those games14

Nugent-Hopkins 9G 8A, 50 SOG · Meier 5G 9A, 64 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19)

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

9:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
7–6
53.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
44.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Timo Meier
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsMeier
2026-01-20EDM 1–2 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-18EDM 3–5 NJD2G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-13EDM 2–3 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-04EDM 0–3 NJD0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-21EDM 6–3 NJD1G 1A 5S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-10EDM 4–1 NJD0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-13EDM 7–1 SJS1G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-28EDM 5–4 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 6S
2022-04-05EDM 2–1 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 1A 9S
2022-03-24EDM 5–2 SJS0G 0A 7S0G 2A 4S
2022-02-14EDM 3–0 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 6S
2020-02-06EDM 3–6 SJS0G 0A 3S2G 1A 8S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsMeier

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Meier done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 10–11. Nugent-Hopkins had 17 points (9 goals) and Meier had 14 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Meier?
Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 0 and Meier 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →