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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Trevor Zegras

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Zegras for 1.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 19 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.5, Top skating speed 22.8, Faceoff win % 47.4%.

Zegras's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Penalty minutes 62, Luck Meter +22.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Trevor Zegras has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsZegras
Goals (+2)0.560.64
Assists (+1)0.500.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.030.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsZegras
8Team record in 12 meetings4
11Points in those games6

Nugent-Hopkins 3G 8A, 38 SOG · Zegras 1G 5A, 22 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other2

Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–1 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 1–1 (2021-22 to 2022-23)

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

7:57 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
9–7
56.3%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
90.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsZegras
2026-01-03EDM 2–5 PHI0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-07EDM 2–3 ANA0G 0A 7S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-04EDM 2–6 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-30EDM 6–1 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-31EDM 7–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-05EDM 3–1 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-01EDM 6–0 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-11EDM 6–2 ANA1G 1A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-17EDM 3–4 ANA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-03EDM 6–1 ANA1G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-02-17EDM 7–3 ANA0G 1A 5S1G 1A 1S
2021-10-19EDM 6–5 ANA0G 2A 4S0G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.2 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 19 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Zegras done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 8–4. Nugent-Hopkins had 11 points (3 goals) and Zegras had 6 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Zegras?
Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 3 and Zegras 2 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →