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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan O'Reilly vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week O'Reilly has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Meier's 1.9.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +1.2, Plus/minus +8.

Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Transition attempts /60 2.14, Hardest shot 94.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromO'ReillyMeier
Goals (+2)0.580.58
Assists (+1)0.570.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.35
Hits (+0.1)0.030.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

O'ReillyMeier
16Team record in 29 meetings13
22Points in those games22

O'Reilly 8G 14A, 49 SOG · Meier 11G 11A, 91 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other3

O'Reilly's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–1 · O'Reilly's defensive zone 2–2 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)

12:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side

Shot attempts
17–4
81.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.2
78.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan O'Reilly and Timo Meier
DateScoreO'ReillyMeier
2026-03-26NSH 2–4 NJD0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2026-01-29NSH 2–3 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-02-23NSH 0–5 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-25NSH 2–5 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2024-04-07NSH 3–2 NJD0G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-13NSH 2–4 NJD1G 0A 5S1G 0A 4S
2022-11-10STL 5–3 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 4S
2022-04-21STL 3–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-18STL 4–1 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 1A 5S
2021-03-20STL 5–2 SJS1G 3A 2S0G 1A 0S
2021-03-19STL 2–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-02-27STL 7–6 SJS1G 1A 3S2G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 29 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

O'ReillyMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have O'Reilly and Meier done against each other?
In 29 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 16–13. O'Reilly had 22 points (8 goals) and Meier had 22 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, O'Reilly or Meier?
Against each other, O'Reilly has won 3 and Meier 3 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →