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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan O'Reilly vs Trevor Zegras

Ryan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week O'Reilly has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 55.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Blocked shots 66.

Zegras's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.69, Penalty minutes 62, Hits 46.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Zegras 24–10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromO'ReillyZegras
Goals (+2)0.580.57
Assists (+1)0.570.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.19
Hits (+0.1)0.030.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

O'ReillyZegras
6Team record in 15 meetings9
8Points in those games11

O'Reilly 4G 4A, 30 SOG · Zegras 4G 7A, 29 SOG

24Faceoffs against each other10

O'Reilly's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 13–5 · O'Reilly's defensive zone 6–2 (2020-21 to 2025-26)

1Shots blocked by the other0

O'Reilly blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of O'Reilly's.

On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)

5:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side

Shot attempts
6–2
75.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
83.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ryan O'Reilly and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreO'ReillyZegras
2025-11-06NSH 1–3 PHI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-30NSH 1–4 PHI0G 0A 2S2G 1A 3S
2025-03-20NSH 1–4 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2025-03-14NSH 1–2 ANA0G 1A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-25NSH 2–5 ANA1G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2024-01-09NSH 3–5 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-21STL 3–1 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-19STL 6–2 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-24STL 6–3 ANA0G 1A 3S0G 1A 0S
2021-12-12STL 2–3 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-05STL 2–3 ANA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 6S
2021-05-03STL 3–1 ANA1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

O'ReillyZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have O'Reilly and Zegras done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 6–9. O'Reilly had 8 points (4 goals) and Zegras had 11 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, O'Reilly or Zegras?
Against each other, O'Reilly has won 24 and Zegras 10 of their 34 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →