Who to start · 2025-26
Sean Walker vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sean Walker projects to 1.62 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Walker had 31 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Walker has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Walker for 1.9 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Sean Walker has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Walker's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 106, Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.41.
Toffoli's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1006, Luck Meter +14, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sean Walker
1.62
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sean Walker has the edge.
| Points per game from | Walker | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.77 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Walker vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Walker 2G 5A, 26 SOG · Toffoli 8G 4A, 38 SOG
Walker blocked 4 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 3 of Walker's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Walker's side)
11:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Walker's side
- Shot attempts
- 22–4
- 84.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.2
- 81.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Walker | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-14 | CAR 5–1 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-20 | CAR 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | COL 6–3 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | COL 5–1 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | COL 6–2 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | COL 5–2 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | COL 6–7 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-13 | COL 0–7 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-02-17 | PHI 3–6 NJD | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-19 | PHI 3–2 NJD | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sean Walker
3games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sean Walker or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sean Walker projects to 1.62 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Walker had 31 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sean Walker or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sean Walker leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Walker and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Walker's team went 10–6. Walker had 7 points (2 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →