Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Tage Thompson vs Trevor Zegras

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Thompson has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Thompson for 2.4 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.7.

Tage Thompson has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35, Ascension score 48.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, High-danger chances 56.6%, Transition attempts /60 1.69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromThompsonZegras
Goals (+2)0.930.57
Assists (+1)0.470.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.19
Hits (+0.1)0.100.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.280.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Thompson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ThompsonZegras
5Team record in 7 meetings2
5Points in those games8

Thompson 2G 3A, 20 SOG · Zegras 4G 4A, 22 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other2

Thompson's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Thompson's defensive zone 3–2 (2021-22 to 2022-23)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Thompson's side)

11:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Thompson's side

Shot attempts
13–10
56.5%
Expected goals
0.9–1.0
48.6%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Tage Thompson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreThompsonZegras
2026-01-14BUF 5–2 PHI0G 2A 2S1G 0A 7S
2025-12-18BUF 5–3 PHI1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-03BUF 2–5 PHI0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-02-15BUF 7–3 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-21BUF 6–3 ANA0G 1A 3S2G 1A 4S
2021-12-07BUF 0–2 ANA0G 0A 6S0G 1A 2S
2021-10-28BUF 4–3 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ThompsonZegras

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.4 pts

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Tage Thompson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tage Thompson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Thompson and Zegras done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Thompson's team went 5–2. Thompson had 5 points (2 goals) and Zegras had 8 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Thompson or Zegras?
Against each other, Thompson has won 4 and Zegras 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →