Who to start · 2025-26
Timo Meier vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Meier has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Timo Meier has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Meier's biggest edges: Corsi 54.3%, Fenwick 54.0%, 20+ mph bursts 111.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Luck Meter +14, On-ice PDO 1006.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Timo Meier
1.74
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.
| Points per game from | Meier | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Meier vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Meier 8G 9A, 70 SOG · Toffoli 5G 3A, 53 SOG
Meier blocked 1 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 2 of Meier's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Meier's side)
12:37 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Meier's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–5
- 61.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.1
- 64.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Meier | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | NJD 2–5 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-04 | NJD 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-21 | NJD 4–1 WPG | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-20 | SJS 3–7 CGY | 1G 1A 4S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2022-12-18 | SJS 2–5 CGY | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-04-07 | SJS 2–4 CGY | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-22 | SJS 4–3 CGY | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-28 | SJS 0–4 MTL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-10-19 | SJS 5–0 MTL | 1G 2A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-12-27 | SJS 2–3 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Timo Meier
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Timo Meier or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Timo Meier or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Meier and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Meier's team went 11–11. Meier had 17 points (8 goals) and Toffoli had 8 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →