Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Trevor Zegras vs Tyler Toffoli

Trevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · CentrevsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Zegras had 67 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Zegras has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Zegras's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, Goals above expected +2.5, High-danger chances 56.6%.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Trevor Zegras has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromZegrasToffoli
Goals (+2)0.570.45
Assists (+1)0.450.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.150.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Zegras vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZegrasToffoli
7Team record in 12 meetings5
8Points in those games9

Zegras 5G 3A, 23 SOG · Toffoli 1G 8A, 34 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Zegras blocked 0 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 2 of Zegras's.

On the ice against each other (Zegras's side)

5:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Zegras's side

Shot attempts
5–4
55.6%
Expected goals
0.5–0.3
67.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Trevor Zegras and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreZegrasToffoli
2025-12-09PHI 4–1 SJS0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-01ANA 4–3 SJS1G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-22ANA 3–1 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-12ANA 2–0 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-02ANA 4–5 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 2A 3S
2023-03-21ANA 1–5 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 3A 5S
2023-03-10ANA 3–1 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 1A 8S
2022-12-23ANA 2–3 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-06ANA 2–4 CGY1G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2022-01-27ANA 5–4 MTL2G 0A 4S0G 1A 6S
2022-02-16ANA 2–6 CGY0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2021-10-31ANA 4–2 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZegrasToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Trevor Zegras or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Zegras had 67 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Trevor Zegras or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zegras and Toffoli done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Zegras's team went 7–5. Zegras had 8 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →