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Who to start · 2025-26

Tyler Toffoli vs Vasily Podkolzin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vasily Podkolzin projects to 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games.

This week Toffoli has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Podkolzin has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Podkolzin's 1.3.

Vasily Podkolzin has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Power-play time per game 2:53, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.05.

Podkolzin's biggest edges: Ascension score 78, Penalty minutes 63, Top skating speed 23.1.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP, 11 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Vasily Podkolzin

1.91

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vasily Podkolzin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromToffoliPodkolzin
Goals (+2)0.450.76
Assists (+1)0.360.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.30
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Toffoli vs Podkolzin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ToffoliPodkolzin
4Team record in 13 meetings9
3Points in those games4

Toffoli 1G 2A, 30 SOG · Podkolzin 2G 2A, 29 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Toffoli blocked 0 of Podkolzin's shots; Podkolzin blocked 2 of Toffoli's.

On the ice against each other (Toffoli's side)

13:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Toffoli's side

Shot attempts
6–11
35.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
42.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Tyler Toffoli and Vasily Podkolzin
DateScoreToffoliPodkolzin
2026-04-08SJS 2–5 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-17SJS 3–5 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2026-02-28SJS 5–4 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-29SJS 3–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-16SJS 0–3 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-11SJS 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-03SJS 2–3 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-21SJS 2–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2024-04-18WPG 4–2 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-23CGY 6–3 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-03-19CGY 5–2 VAN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-02-24CGY 1–7 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ToffoliPodkolzin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Vasily Podkolzin

3games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Tyler Toffoli or Vasily Podkolzin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vasily Podkolzin projects to 1.91 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Tyler Toffoli or Vasily Podkolzin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vasily Podkolzin leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Toffoli and Podkolzin done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Toffoli's team went 4–9. Toffoli had 3 points (1 goals) and Podkolzin had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →