Who to start · 2025-26
Tyler Toffoli vs Viktor Arvidsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Viktor Arvidsson projects to 1.72 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.
This week Toffoli has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project Arvidsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.
Viktor Arvidsson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Offensive-zone start % 53.7%.
Arvidsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +20, Ascension score 54, Goals above expected +2.7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Viktor Arvidsson
1.72
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Viktor Arvidsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Toffoli | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Toffoli vs Arvidsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Toffoli 7G 6A, 54 SOG · Arvidsson 8G 4A, 56 SOG
On the ice against each other (Toffoli's side)
2:10 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Toffoli's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–5
- 16.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 3.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Toffoli | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | SJS 4–2 BOS | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0–3 EDM | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-11 | SJS 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-03 | SJS 2–3 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-21 | SJS 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-15 | NJD 1–2 LAK | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-28 | CGY 2–1 LAK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-20 | CGY 2–8 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-22 | CGY 3–4 LAK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-14 | CGY 6–5 LAK | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-04 | CGY 3–2 LAK | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-31 | CGY 2–3 LAK | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Viktor Arvidsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tyler Toffoli or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Viktor Arvidsson projects to 1.72 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tyler Toffoli or Viktor Arvidsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Viktor Arvidsson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Toffoli and Arvidsson done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Toffoli's team went 5–15. Toffoli had 13 points (7 goals) and Arvidsson had 12 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →