NHL analytics
Hockey research, tested on real data
Long-form NHL research from Edgehalla. Every series shows its work: the sample, the holdout check and the tables behind each number.
GOAT Series
The NHL GOAT Series: Hockey Greatness, Adjusted for Era
Every NHL era on one scale: scoring, league strength and opportunity.
Prop Lab
NHL Prop Lab: What the Data Says About Hockey Betting Edges and Myths
Hockey betting ideas tested against real results and closing odds.
- The NHL Puck Line +1.5, Explained With Nine Seasons of MarginsThe puck line is always ±1.5, but the real margin of a hockey game is not.
- Alternate Puck Lines: The Blowout Is Overpriced, and It Still Does Not PayBooks charge too much for NHL blowouts on every alternate line we checked.
- Betting NHL Back-to-Backs: The Fatigue Is Real, and the Price Knows ItTired teams lose more often.
- Do Faster NHL Teams Win More? What NHL EDGE Speed Data SaysWe built a pregame speed rating for every lineup from NHL EDGE tracking data and tested it against expected goals, wins and closing odds.
- Does Playoff Hockey Reward Hitters Over Speed? We Tested Five PostseasonsThe old line is that fast teams win the regular season and heavy teams win in the spring.
- NHL Faceoff Matchups: Ignore the Head-to-Head, Watch the HandsA center’s record against one opponent feels like inside information.
- NHL DFS Stacking Works. “Chemistry” Is Mostly Noise.We measured how every pair of NHL teammates scored together across nine seasons.
- How Much of a Goalie’s Save Percentage Is the Goalie?We followed every NHL goalie who changed teams since 1955.
- The Best and Worst NHL Teams for Goalies: Boston Helps Most, Philadelphia Hurts MostWe rated every franchise by how the same goalies did there and everywhere else.
- When a Good Goalie Joins a Bad Team for Goalies, Save % Drops About .005. The Team Explains Part of It, and Luck Plays a PartWe followed every NHL goalie who changed teams since 1980 and rated each team for goalies before the move, which is not the same as rating how good the team is.
- Momentum, Game Script and Garbage Time: Which Hockey Stories Hold Up?Hockey is full of in-game stories: momentum swings, scripted ice time, garbage-time scorers.
- NHL Arena Scorer Bias on Hits: How the Edge DiedFor years, some NHL rinks counted far more hits than others, and the pattern was reliable enough to use.