Vezina Trophy Tracker 2026-27
No Vezina Trophy outcome on Polymarket has a real two-sided price right now (as of Oct 21, 2026), so the table below is the stat race, with the listed asks for reference.
The favourites
| # | Player | Sv% | W | GP | Ask | Bid | Fair | 7d ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jesper WallstedtMIN · G | .921 | 6 | 8 | 74¢ | 0.3¢ | thin | – |
| 2 |  Juuse SarosNSH · G | .906 | 3 | 7 | 73¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 3 |  Jacob MarkstromFLA · G | .897 | 3 | 6 | 73¢ | 0.4¢ | thin | – |
| 4 |  Karel VejmelkaUTA · G | .879 | 5 | 8 | 73¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 5 | Frederik Andersen | – | – | – | 73¢ | 0.3¢ | thin | – |
| 6 |  Jeremy SwaymanBOS · G | .934 | 6 | 7 | 72.8¢ | 7.2¢ | thin | – |
Market: NHL Vezina Trophy Winner, 64 listed outcomes, 2 with a real two-sided book (bid and ask within 5 cents and within half their midpoint). Fair % is the midpoint of those books; thin outcomes show no fair %.
The full Vezina Trophy race
The top market outcomes plus every stat leader, priced or not.
| # | Player | Sv% | W | GP | Ask | Bid | Fair | 7d ago |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesper WallstedtMIN · G | .921 | 6 | 8 | 74¢ | 0.3¢ | thin | – |
| 2 | Juuse SarosNSH · G | .906 | 3 | 7 | 73¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 3 | Jacob MarkstromFLA · G | .897 | 3 | 6 | 73¢ | 0.4¢ | thin | – |
| 4 | Karel VejmelkaUTA · G | .879 | 5 | 8 | 73¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 5 | Frederik Andersen | – | – | – | 73¢ | 0.3¢ | thin | – |
| 6 | Jeremy SwaymanBOS · G | .934 | 6 | 7 | 72.8¢ | 7.2¢ | thin | – |
| 7 |  Joey DaccordSEA · G | .882 | 3 | 5 | 72.8¢ | 0.2¢ | thin | – |
| 8 |  Darcy KuemperLAK · G | .847 | 0 | 4 | 72.6¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 9 |  Jet GreavesCBJ · G | .907 | 2 | 5 | 72¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 10 |  Dan VladarPHI · G | .889 | 1 | 5 | 72¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 11 |  Dustin WolfCGY · G | .834 | 1 | 5 | 72¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 12 |  Jordan BinningtonSTL · G | .831 | 1 | 3 | 71.9¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 13 |  Jake OettingerDAL · G | .952 | 3 | 6 | 53¢ | 6¢ | thin | – |
| 14 |  Linus UllmarkOTT · G | .945 | 6 | 7 | 49.5¢ | 7.1¢ | thin | – |
| 15 |  Logan ThompsonWSH · G | .910 | 4 | 6 | 39¢ | 11¢ | thin | – |
| 16 |  Ilya SorokinNYI · G | .940 | 4 | 6 | 38.9¢ | 7¢ | thin | – |
| 17 |  Joseph WollPHI · G | .917 | 1 | 6 | 35¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 18 |  Philipp GrubauerSEA · G | .909 | 2 | 5 | 31¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 19 |  Pyotr KochetkovCAR · G | .912 | 5 | 5 | 28.9¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 20 |  Igor ShesterkinNYR · G | .927 | 3 | 5 | 11.1¢ | 0.2¢ | thin | – |
| 21 |  Adin HillVGK · G | .906 | 4 | 4 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | thin | – |
| 22 |  Dylan GarandNYR · G | .929 | 4 | 7 | – | – | – | – |
| 23 |  Leevi MeriläinenVAN · G | .925 | 1 | 6 | – | – | – | – |
| 24 |  Carter HartVGK · G | .911 | 4 | 6 | – | – | – | – |
How much do early stats tell you?
Little, this early. Over the last 9 seasons the points leader 14 days into the season won the Art Ross 3 times (the eventual winner ranked 43, 152, 1, 1, 1, 2, 5, 8, 25 at that point), and the early goals leader won the Rocket Richard 1 time. Nine seasons is a small sample, so treat this as a warning, not a model.
Market comparison: we have no forecast that beats these prices, and we do not claim an edge. The market already prices player talent and role; a stat leader with a low price is usually a hot start the market expects to cool. Testing a model against award futures would need several seasons of stored prices; we started storing daily snapshots in October 2026.
Recent Vezina Trophy winners
| Season | Winner | GP | W | Sv% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 |  Andrei VasilevskiyTBL | 58 | 39 | .912 |
| 2024-25 |  Connor HellebuyckWPG | 63 | 47 | .925 |
| 2023-24 | Connor HellebuyckWPG | 60 | 37 | .921 |
| 2022-23 |  Linus UllmarkBOS | 49 | 40 | .938 |
| 2021-22 |  Igor ShesterkinNYR | 53 | 36 | .935 |
| 2020-21 |  Marc-Andre FleuryVGK | 36 | 26 | .928 |
| 2019-20 | Connor HellebuyckWPG | 58 | 31 | .922 |
| 2018-19 | Andrei VasilevskiyTBL | 53 | 39 | .925 |
Reading the Vezina Trophy odds
The prices are Polymarket's: the best ask is what one share of "Yes" costs, paying $1 if the player wins. Most of the 100-plus listed outcomes are thin (no bid, or a bid and ask more than 5 cents or half their midpoint apart), so their ask is not a real price. Our "fair" column uses only the 2 outcomes with a real two-sided book: the midpoint between bid and ask, scaled down if those midpoints add up to more than 100%, which is the margin. Thin outcomes show no fair price.
Awards are decided over a full season, so early stat leaders matter less than you would think. Over the last 9 seasons the points leader 14 days in won the Art Ross 3 times, and the early goals leader won the Rocket Richard 1 time.
We publish the race and the prices side by side, but we do not have a model that beats these markets, so there is no pick here. Polymarket's taker fee (0.05 × p × (1 − p) per share) comes on top of the ask.
More NHL records and milestones
- Hart Trophy tracker
MVP of the regular season: race and odds
- Calder Trophy tracker
Rookie of the year: race and odds
- Norris Trophy tracker
Top defenseman: race and odds
- Art Ross Trophy tracker
Most points in the regular season: race and odds
- Rocket Richard Trophy tracker
Most goals in the regular season: race and odds
- Milestones
Who could hit a milestone tonight, and who is close
- Streaks
Active point and goal streaks and droughts, with the luck behind them
- Hat tricks
Every hat trick this season and the leaders since 2017-18
- Gordie Howe hat tricks
Goal, assist and a fight in one game
- Game highs
Most shots, saves, hits and goals in one game this season
- Rookies
Rookie leaders, points pace and the Calder race
- All-time records
Every official NHL record list
- Head to head
All-time records between any two teams
Frequently asked questions
Who leads the Vezina Trophy race on stats?
Jake Oettinger leads the stat race with a .952 save percentage.
Who won the Vezina Trophy last season?
Andrei Vasilevskiy won the Vezina Trophy in 2025-26.
Do the early leaders usually win?
Not often. Over the last 9 seasons the points leader 14 days in won the Art Ross 3 times and the early goals leader won the Rocket Richard 1 time.