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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guentzel has 1 left. We project Guentzel for 1.9 ESPN points to Fantilli's 1.6.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Hits 139, Top skating speed 23.4, Hardest shot 88.4.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Luck Meter +45, Goals above expected +0.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.670.88
Assists (+1)0.400.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.28
Hits (+0.1)0.200.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliGuentzel
4Team record in 7 meetings3
7Points in those games12

Fantilli 2G 5A, 20 SOG · Guentzel 6G 6A, 27 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other4

Fantilli's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 0–0 · Fantilli's defensive zone 2–2 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

10:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
12–10
54.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.4
58.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreFantilliGuentzel
2026-03-10CBJ 5–2 TBL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-24CBJ 8–5 TBL1G 2A 3S2G 1A 4S
2025-10-18CBJ 3–2 TBL0G 1A 3S0G 1A 7S
2025-03-04CBJ 2–6 TBL0G 1A 3S2G 1A 7S
2024-12-17CBJ 3–5 TBL1G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2024-11-21CBJ 7–6 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-14CBJ 3–5 PIT0G 0A 4S1G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fantilli's 1.92. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Guentzel done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 4–3. Fantilli had 7 points (2 goals) and Guentzel had 12 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Guentzel?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 2 and Guentzel 4 of their 6 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →