Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Jake Guentzel
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.
This week DeBrincat has 2 games left; Guentzel has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 3.8 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.9.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.1, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20, Transition attempts /60 1.78.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, Scoring chances 56.2%, Goals above expected +0.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.31
fantasy points per game
Jake Guentzel
2.33
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Guentzel
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 7G 9A, 59 SOG · Guentzel 9G 9A, 45 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25)
DeBrincat blocked 1 of Guentzel's shots; Guentzel blocked 0 of DeBrincat's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
19:21 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 21–21
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.8
- 62.2%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | DET 3–4 TBL | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-12 | DET 1–4 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3–6 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2–1 TBL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2025-04-11 | DET 4–3 TBL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-08 | DET 3–6 TBL | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-25 | DET 2–0 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-18 | DET 1–5 TBL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 2A 1S |
| 2024-03-28 | DET 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-18 | DET 6–3 PIT | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-20 | OTT 2–1 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-20 | OTT 1–4 PIT | 0G 0A 4S | 2G 1A 5S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.9 ptsSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake Guentzel's 2.21. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Jake Guentzel?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Guentzel done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 11–9. DeBrincat had 16 points (7 goals) and Guentzel had 18 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Guentzel?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and Guentzel 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →