Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Martin Necas

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.31.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games.

This week DeBrincat has 2 games left; Necas has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 3.8 ESPN points to Necas's 2.1.

Martin Necas has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Blocked shots 39.

Necas's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.3, Offensive-zone start % 69.2%, Scoring chances 56.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.31

fantasy points per game

Martin Necas

2.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Martin Necas has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatNecas
Goals (+2)1.000.97
Assists (+1)0.540.79
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.26
Hits (+0.1)0.050.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Necas

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatNecas
4Team record in 19 meetings15
16Points in those games19

DeBrincat 10G 6A, 55 SOG · Necas 10G 9A, 56 SOG

4Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

DeBrincat blocked 1 of Necas's shots; Necas blocked 0 of DeBrincat's.

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Martin Necas
DateScoreDeBrincatNecas
2025-03-25DET 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2024-03-28DET 0–4 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2024-01-19DET 2–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 1A 6S
2023-12-14DET 1–2 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2023-04-10OTT 3–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2023-04-04OTT 2–3 CAR0G 2A 3S1G 0A 5S
2023-02-24OTT 0–4 CAR0G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S
2021-11-03CHI 3–4 CAR2G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2021-10-29CHI 3–6 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2021-05-04CHI 3–6 CAR2G 0A 6S1G 1A 3S
2021-05-03CHI 2–5 CAR1G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2021-04-01CHI 3–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatNecas

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.5 win%vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 pts
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Martin Necas

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.1 pts
    Schedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Martin Necas in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Martin Necas projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex DeBrincat's 2.31. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Necas had 100 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Martin Necas?
On 2025-26 numbers, Martin Necas leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Necas done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 4–15. DeBrincat had 16 points (10 goals) and Necas had 19 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →