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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Pavel Buchnevich

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Fantilli for 1.6 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Hits 139, 20+ mph bursts 196.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Goals above expected −0.4, Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.92

fantasy points per game

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fantilli has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliBuchnevich
Goals (+2)0.670.46
Assists (+1)0.400.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.16
Hits (+0.1)0.200.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Buchnevich

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliBuchnevich
5Team record in 5 meetings0
4Points in those games2

Fantilli 3G 1A, 15 SOG · Buchnevich 0G 2A, 15 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Fantilli's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Fantilli's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Fantilli's side)

5:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fantilli's side

Shot attempts
3–8
27.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
26.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fantilli and Pavel Buchnevich
DateScoreFantilliBuchnevich
2026-01-31CBJ 5–3 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-01CBJ 3–2 STL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-11CBJ 2–1 STL1G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-04CBJ 6–4 STL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-08CBJ 5–2 STL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliBuchnevich

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Pavel Buchnevich?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fantilli and Buchnevich done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Fantilli's team went 5–0. Fantilli had 4 points (3 goals) and Buchnevich had 2 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Fantilli or Buchnevich?
Against each other, Fantilli has won 1 and Buchnevich 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →