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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Auston Matthews

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsAuston MatthewsAuston MatthewsMaple Leafs · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.7 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Corsi 55.8%, Luck Meter +45.

Matthews's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Hardest shot 88.3, Shots on goal 227.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMatthews
Goals (+2)0.270.79
Assists (+1)0.830.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.36
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Matthews

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMatthews
8Team record in 16 meetings8
8Points in those games18

Fox 2G 6A, 27 SOG · Matthews 10G 8A, 67 SOG

1Hits on each other3
5Shots blocked by the other2

Fox blocked 5 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 2 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

15:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
17–17
50.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
53.8%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Auston Matthews
DateScoreFoxMatthews
2026-03-05NYR 6–2 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2025-10-16NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-19NYR 4–1 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 9S
2024-03-02NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-19NYR 5–2 TOR0G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S
2023-12-12NYR 3–7 TOR0G 1A 1S2G 2A 3S
2023-04-13NYR 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-25NYR 2–3 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-15NYR 3–1 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2022-01-19NYR 6–3 TOR2G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2021-11-18NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMatthews

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Auston Matthews?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Matthews done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 8–8. Fox had 8 points (2 goals) and Matthews had 18 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →