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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left. We project Tkachuk for 1.9 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Goals above expected +2.5, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.3, Hits 162, Penalty minutes 71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxTkachuk
Goals (+2)0.270.65
Assists (+1)0.830.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.35
Hits (+0.1)0.040.29
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxTkachuk
9Team record in 15 meetings6
10Points in those games13

Fox 1G 9A, 34 SOG · Tkachuk 7G 6A, 65 SOG

0Hits on each other3
1Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 1 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

5:05 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
2–7
22.2%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
28.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreFoxTkachuk
2026-03-23NYR 1–2 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-21NYR 5–0 OTT0G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-01NYR 2–1 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2024-04-15NYR 4–0 OTT1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-27NYR 7–2 OTT0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-12-05NYR 2–6 OTT0G 1A 2S2G 0A 8S
2023-03-02NYR 3–5 OTT0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2022-12-02NYR 2–3 OTT0G 1A 1S2G 1A 8S
2022-11-30NYR 3–1 OTT0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-09NYR 5–1 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-20NYR 2–1 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 4S
2021-10-23NYR 3–2 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA1.9 pts
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 9–6. Fox had 10 points (1 goals) and Tkachuk had 13 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →