Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nelson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Luck Meter +45, Transition attempts /60 0.53, Offensive-zone time 48.0%.
Nelson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 150, Blocked shots 65, Top skating speed 22.6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 2G 16A, 51 SOG · Nelson 13G 12A, 57 SOG
Fox blocked 3 of Nelson's shots; Nelson blocked 5 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
2:15 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–5
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.4
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | NYR 3–6 COL | 0G 2A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-25 | NYR 5–1 NYI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-03 | NYR 5–2 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | NYR 3–2 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2024-04-09 | NYR 2–4 NYI | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-03-17 | NYR 5–2 NYI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-02-18 | NYR 6–5 NYI | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-22 | NYR 5–3 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-08 | NYR 3–4 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-26 | NYR 0–3 NYI | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-04-21 | NYR 6–3 NYI | 0G 3A 1S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-01 | NYR 0–3 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Nelson done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 12–13. Fox had 18 points (2 goals) and Nelson had 25 (13 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →