Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Connor McDavid

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsConnor McDavidConnor McDavidOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041, On-ice PDO 1019, Luck Meter +45.

McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, Ascension score 62, 20+ mph bursts 681.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMcDavid
Goals (+2)0.271.15
Assists (+1)0.831.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.35
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.35
Hits (+0.1)0.040.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs McDavid

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMcDavid
3Team record in 11 meetings8
9Points in those games15

Fox 0G 9A, 25 SOG · McDavid 5G 10A, 34 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 1 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 0 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

11:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
15–15
50.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.4
50.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Connor McDavid
DateScoreFoxMcDavid
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 6S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-16NYR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-23NYR 2–6 EDM0G 1A 1S2G 1A 3S
2023-12-22NYR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-17NYR 5–4 EDM0G 2A 3S0G 2A 4S
2022-11-26NYR 3–4 EDM0G 1A 5S0G 1A 3S
2022-01-03NYR 4–1 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 7S
2021-11-05NYR 5–6 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 2A 2S
2019-12-31NYR 5–7 EDM0G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S
2019-10-12NYR 1–4 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMcDavid

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Connor McDavid?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and McDavid done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–8. Fox had 9 points (0 goals) and McDavid had 15 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →