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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Kirill Marchenko

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 64.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.36.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 301, Ascension score 58.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.270.63
Assists (+1)0.830.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.29
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMarchenko
7Team record in 11 meetings4
10Points in those games9

Fox 1G 9A, 22 SOG · Marchenko 4G 5A, 29 SOG

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other2

Fox blocked 2 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 2 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

21:42 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
28–24
53.8%
Expected goals
1.4–1.0
57.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreFoxMarchenko
2026-03-19NYR 3–6 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2026-03-02NYR 4–5 CBJ0G 0A 3S2G 1A 4S
2025-11-15NYR 2–1 CBJ0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-15NYR 4–0 CBJ0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-18NYR 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-28NYR 4–1 CBJ1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-25NYR 2–4 CBJ0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2023-10-14NYR 3–5 CBJ0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-04-08NYR 4–0 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-28NYR 6–2 CBJ0G 2A 2S1G 0A 5S
2023-01-16NYR 3–1 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Marchenko done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 7–4. Fox had 10 points (1 goals) and Marchenko had 9 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →