Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlsson for 1.6 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.
Adam Fox has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, On-ice PDO 1019, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Ascension score 59, 20+ mph bursts 197, Top skating speed 22.5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 1G 5A, 11 SOG · Carlsson 1G 6A, 10 SOG
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-28 | NYR 4–5 ANA | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 3A 3S |
| 2024-10-26 | NYR 2–1 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-21 | NYR 5–2 ANA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2023-12-15 | NYR 5–1 ANA | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–1. Fox had 6 points (1 goals) and Carlsson had 7 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →