Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left; Cates has 1 left. We project Fox for 2.2 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Corsi 55.8%, Offensive-zone time 48.0%, Fenwick 54.2%.

Cates's biggest edges: Hits 102, Penalty minutes 44, Blocked shots 51.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxCates
Goals (+2)0.270.39
Assists (+1)0.830.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.16
Hits (+0.1)0.040.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxCates
8Team record in 13 meetings5
7Points in those games4

Fox 2G 5A, 27 SOG · Cates 1G 3A, 24 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other1

Fox blocked 1 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

4:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
0–1
0.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
0.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Noah Cates
DateScoreFoxCates
2026-03-09NYR 6–2 PHI0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-02-26NYR 2–3 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-04-09NYR 5–8 PHI0G 1A 3S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-23NYR 6–1 PHI1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-29NYR 1–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-11NYR 1–4 PHI0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-26NYR 6–5 PHI1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-24NYR 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-01NYR 1–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-13NYR 4–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA2.2 pts

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Cates done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 8–5. Fox had 7 points (2 goals) and Cates had 4 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →