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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Fox has 2 games left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 3.4 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Adam Fox has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041, On-ice PDO 1019, Scoring chances 59.9%.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.5, Top skating speed 22.8, Blocked shots 31.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.24

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.330.56
Assists (+1)0.800.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.18
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxNugent-Hopkins
3Team record in 11 meetings8
9Points in those games12

Fox 1G 8A, 25 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 2G 10A, 18 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Fox blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

7:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
13–5
72.2%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
75.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreFoxNugent-Hopkins
2025-10-30NYR 4–3 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-14NYR 0–2 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-16NYR 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 3A 0S
2024-11-23NYR 2–6 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-22NYR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-26NYR 3–0 EDM1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-17NYR 5–4 EDM0G 2A 3S1G 1A 2S
2022-11-26NYR 3–4 EDM0G 1A 5S0G 1A 0S
2021-11-05NYR 5–6 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2019-12-31NYR 5–7 EDM0G 2A 1S1G 3A 3S
2019-10-12NYR 1–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (2 left)

3.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–8. Fox had 9 points (1 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 12 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →