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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Brady Tkachuk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tkachuk has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Tkachuk's 2.3.

Brady Tkachuk has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Blocked shots 163, Luck Meter +38.

Tkachuk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.6%, High-danger chances 60.8%, Fenwick 59.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Brady Tkachuk

2.16

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brady Tkachuk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonTkachuk
Goals (+2)0.160.65
Assists (+1)0.210.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.35
Hits (+0.1)0.160.29
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Tkachuk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonTkachuk
13Team record in 21 meetings8
4Points in those games14

Larsson 0G 4A, 27 SOG · Tkachuk 9G 5A, 75 SOG

5Hits on each other13
3Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 3 of Tkachuk's shots; Tkachuk blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

1:09 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
1–2
33.3%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
8.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Brady Tkachuk
DateScoreLarssonTkachuk
2026-03-07SEA 4–7 OTT0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-17SEA 0–3 OTT0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-11-02SEA 0–3 OTT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2024-01-04SEA 4–1 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-02SEA 0–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-09SEA 4–5 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-07SEA 8–4 OTT0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2022-03-10SEA 3–4 OTT0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2022-04-18SEA 4–2 OTT0G 2A 1S1G 0A 4S
2021-04-08EDM 3–1 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2021-04-07EDM 4–2 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 6S
2021-03-12EDM 6–2 OTT0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonTkachuk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Brady Tkachuk

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Brady Tkachuk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brady Tkachuk projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Tkachuk had 59 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Brady Tkachuk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brady Tkachuk leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Tkachuk done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 13–8. Larsson had 4 points (0 goals) and Tkachuk had 14 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →