Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Christian Dvorak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left; Dvorak has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.3 ESPN points to Dvorak's 1.5.

Christian Dvorak has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Hardest shot 98.4, Hits 110.

Dvorak's biggest edges: High-danger chances 51.9%, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, 20+ mph bursts 199.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Christian Dvorak

1.42

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonDvorak
Goals (+2)0.160.40
Assists (+1)0.210.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.18
Hits (+0.1)0.160.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Dvorak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonDvorak
10Team record in 15 meetings5
2Points in those games7

Larsson 0G 2A, 25 SOG · Dvorak 3G 4A, 20 SOG

1Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 1 of Dvorak's shots; Dvorak blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

7:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
5–10
33.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
35.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Christian Dvorak
DateScoreLarssonDvorak
2025-12-28SEA 4–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-20SEA 2–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-12SEA 5–4 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-29SEA 8–2 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-04SEA 2–4 MTL0G 1A 7S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-09SEA 4–0 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-06SEA 2–4 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2021-10-26SEA 5–1 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-04EDM 0–3 ARI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2020-01-18EDM 7–3 ARI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2019-11-24EDM 4–3 ARI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2019-03-16EDM 3–2 ARI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonDvorak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.6 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.6 pts

Christian Dvorak

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Christian Dvorak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Christian Dvorak's 1.42. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Dvorak had 51 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Christian Dvorak?
On 2025-26 numbers, Christian Dvorak leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Dvorak done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 10–5. Larsson had 2 points (0 goals) and Dvorak had 7 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →