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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs David Pastrnak

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Pastrnak has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.6, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.6%, Power-play share 82.4%, Power-play time per game 3:36.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonPastrnak
Goals (+2)0.160.66
Assists (+1)0.210.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.35
Hits (+0.1)0.160.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Pastrnak

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonPastrnak
8Team record in 16 meetings8
4Points in those games19

Larsson 1G 3A, 21 SOG · Pastrnak 15G 4A, 76 SOG

4Hits on each other3
9Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 9 of Pastrnak's shots; Pastrnak blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

20:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
16–27
37.2%
Expected goals
0.5–1.0
32.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and David Pastrnak
DateScoreLarssonPastrnak
2026-01-15SEA 2–4 BOS0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2026-01-06SEA 7–4 BOS0G 0A 0S2G 0A 7S
2024-12-12SEA 5–1 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 6S
2024-11-03SEA 0–2 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2024-02-26SEA 4–3 BOS0G 0A 0S2G 1A 4S
2024-02-15SEA 4–1 BOS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 8S
2023-02-23SEA 5–6 BOS0G 0A 5S1G 1A 5S
2023-01-12SEA 3–0 BOS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2022-02-24SEA 2–3 BOS0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2022-02-01SEA 2–3 BOS0G 1A 0S2G 1A 3S
2020-02-19EDM 1–2 BOS0G 0A 2S1G 1A 6S
2020-01-04EDM 4–1 BOS0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonPastrnak

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or David Pastrnak in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Pastrnak had 100 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or David Pastrnak?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Pastrnak done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 8–8. Larsson had 4 points (1 goals) and Pastrnak had 19 (15 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →