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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Dougie Hamilton

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Hamilton has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Hamilton's 1.6.

Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Blocked shots 163, Luck Meter +38.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Corsi 54.2%, Fenwick 54.1%, Offensive-zone time 43.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonHamilton
Goals (+2)0.160.42
Assists (+1)0.210.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.28
Hits (+0.1)0.160.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.50

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Hamilton

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonHamilton
4Team record in 14 meetings10
4Points in those games9

Larsson 3G 1A, 29 SOG · Hamilton 5G 4A, 44 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other1

Larsson blocked 3 of Hamilton's shots; Hamilton blocked 1 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

11:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
11–13
45.8%
Expected goals
0.4–0.8
32.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Dougie Hamilton
DateScoreLarssonHamilton
2026-01-25SEA 4–2 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 1A 5S
2026-01-14SEA 2–3 NJD1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-01-06SEA 2–3 NJD1G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-12-06SEA 2–3 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-09SEA 1–3 NJD1G 0A 4S2G 0A 5S
2023-01-19SEA 4–3 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-16SEA 4–3 NJD0G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S
2021-10-19SEA 2–4 NJD0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-10EDM 3–6 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 1A 5S
2019-02-15EDM 1–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2019-01-20EDM 4–7 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2018-03-31EDM 2–3 CGY0G 0A 5S1G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonHamilton

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Dougie Hamilton in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Hamilton had 39 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Dougie Hamilton?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Hamilton done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 4–10. Larsson had 4 points (3 goals) and Hamilton had 9 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →