Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs MacKenzie Weegar
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left; Weegar has 2 left. We project Weegar for 3.9 ESPN points to Larsson's 3.3.
MacKenzie Weegar has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +38, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043.
Weegar's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.0%, Corsi 51.9%, Fenwick 51.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
MacKenzie Weegar
1.93
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Weegar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Weegar
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 3G 8A, 20 SOG · Weegar 0G 8A, 39 SOG
Larsson blocked 2 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 2 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
15:37 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–15
- 55.9%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–0.4
- 76.9%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Weegar |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | SEA 2–6 UTA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-05 | SEA 5–1 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA 2–4 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2025-03-25 | SEA 3–4 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-08 | SEA 3–2 CGY | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-02 | SEA 2–3 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-19 | SEA 2–1 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-04 | SEA 4–2 CGY | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-27 | SEA 2–1 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-20 | SEA 3–4 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-11-04 | SEA 3–6 CGY | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-27 | SEA 2–5 CGY | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.6 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.6 pts
MacKenzie Weegar
3games (2 left)
3.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.0 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or MacKenzie Weegar?
- On 2025-26 numbers, MacKenzie Weegar leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Weegar done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 11–9. Larsson had 11 points (3 goals) and Weegar had 8 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →