Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Faceoffs won 0, Hits 110.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Power-play share 82.8%, Sequence xG 54.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonRantanen
Goals (+2)0.160.64
Assists (+1)0.210.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.21
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonRantanen
10Team record in 26 meetings16
10Points in those games28

Larsson 0G 10A, 47 SOG · Rantanen 14G 14A, 73 SOG

6Hits on each other0
6Shots blocked by the other2

Larsson blocked 6 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 2 of Larsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

8:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
9–10
47.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
51.9%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreLarssonRantanen
2025-11-26SEA 2–3 DAL0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-09SEA 1–2 DAL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 6S
2025-03-31SEA 1–3 DAL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-29SEA 1–5 DAL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 4S
2024-12-22SEA 2–5 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-11-05SEA 3–6 COL0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S
2024-10-22SEA 2–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-13SEA 1–5 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-09SEA 4–3 COL0G 2A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-10-17SEA 1–4 COL0G 0A 6S1G 0A 1S
2023-04-30 · POSEA 2–1 COL0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-04-28 · POSEA 1–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 6S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Rantanen done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 10–16. Larsson had 10 points (0 goals) and Rantanen had 28 (14 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →