Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Robert Thomas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Thomas's 1.9.
Robert Thomas has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Hits 110, Hardest shot 98.4, Blocked shots 163.
Thomas's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.0%, Expected goals 57.2%, Scoring chances 56.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Robert Thomas
1.89
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.73 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Thomas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 1G 6A, 32 SOG · Thomas 7G 13A, 26 SOG
Larsson blocked 2 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 0 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
7:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–5
- 73.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.1
- 89.0%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Thomas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | SEA 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | SEA 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-12 | SEA 4–3 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-25 | SEA 2–7 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-08 | SEA 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-04-14 | SEA 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-26 | SEA 3–4 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-14 | SEA 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-02-28 | SEA 5–3 STL | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-12-20 | SEA 5–2 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-10-19 | SEA 3–4 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2022-04-06 | SEA 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Robert Thomas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Robert Thomas leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Thomas done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 6–13. Larsson had 7 points (1 goals) and Thomas had 20 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →