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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Adam LarssonAdam LarssonKraken · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hits 110, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.043, Luck Meter +56.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, High-danger chances 54.8%, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.65

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.170.56
Assists (+1)0.220.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.18
Hits (+0.1)0.130.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonNugent-Hopkins
4Team record in 18 meetings14
6Points in those games25

Larsson 1G 5A, 25 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 6G 19A, 35 SOG

1Hits on each other0
3Shots blocked by the other2

Larsson blocked 3 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 2 of Larsson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2
2Goals set up by the other5

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

14:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
11–12
47.8%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
69.4%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreLarssonNugent-Hopkins
2026-03-31SEA 0–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-04SEA 4–9 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 3A 0S
2025-11-29SEA 0–4 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2025-10-25SEA 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-27SEA 6–1 EDM0G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-22SEA 4–5 EDM0G 0A 2S3G 0A 5S
2025-01-27SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-04SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-02SEA 1–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-18SEA 2–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-15SEA 3–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-11SEA 1–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 4–14. Larsson had 6 points (1 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 25 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →