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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Trevor Zegras

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Blocked shots 163, Hits 110.

Zegras's biggest edges: High-danger chances 56.6%, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Sequence xG 55.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Larsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonZegras
Goals (+2)0.160.57
Assists (+1)0.210.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonZegras
8Team record in 14 meetings6
2Points in those games13

Larsson 0G 2A, 23 SOG · Zegras 6G 7A, 25 SOG

2Hits on each other2
4Shots blocked by the other0

Larsson blocked 4 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

9:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
5–14
26.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
27.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreLarssonZegras
2025-12-28SEA 4–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-20SEA 2–5 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-28SEA 4–6 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-27SEA 2–5 ANA0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2024-11-25SEA 3–2 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-03-28SEA 4–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-26SEA 4–0 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-23SEA 3–2 ANA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2023-03-07SEA 5–2 ANA0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-27SEA 5–4 ANA0G 1A 1S0G 3A 3S
2022-10-12SEA 4–5 ANA0G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2022-02-11SEA 4–3 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonZegras

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Larsson projects to 1.64 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Zegras done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 8–6. Larsson had 2 points (0 goals) and Zegras had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →