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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Alex Tuch

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tuch had 66 in 79 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tuch has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Power-play share 70.3%, Top skating speed 23.7.

Tuch's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.6%, Forecheck xG /60 0.26, Blocked shots 90.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeTuch
Goals (+2)0.831.03
Assists (+1)0.430.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.25
Hits (+0.1)0.160.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.57

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Tuch

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeTuch
12Team record in 32 meetings20
17Points in those games23

Kempe 6G 11A, 62 SOG · Tuch 13G 10A, 100 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other3

Kempe's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–3 (2017-18 to 2018-19)

2Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Kempe blocked 2 of Tuch's shots; Tuch blocked 0 of Kempe's.

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

5:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
5–5
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
92.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Alex Tuch
DateScoreKempeTuch
2026-03-21LAK 1–4 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-29LAK 1–4 BUF1G 0A 4S3G 0A 7S
2024-11-20LAK 0–1 BUF0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-10LAK 3–1 BUF0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-02-13LAK 0–7 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2024-01-24LAK 3–5 BUF1G 1A 3S1G 0A 6S
2023-02-13LAK 5–2 BUF1G 1A 4S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-13LAK 0–6 BUF0G 0A 5S1G 1A 4S
2022-03-06LAK 3–0 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2021-04-14LAK 2–6 VGK0G 2A 3S1G 1A 2S
2021-04-12LAK 2–4 VGK0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2021-03-31LAK 4–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 32 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeTuch

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Alex Tuch in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Tuch had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Alex Tuch?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Tuch done against each other?
In 32 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 12–20. Kempe had 17 points (6 goals) and Tuch had 23 (13 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Tuch?
Against each other, Kempe has won 1 and Tuch 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →