Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Dylan Guenther

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Penalty minutes 58, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.023.

Guenther's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.30, High-danger chances 51.9%, Expected goals 53.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeGuenther
Goals (+2)0.831.20
Assists (+1)0.430.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.32
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeGuenther
5Team record in 7 meetings2
8Points in those games6

Kempe 3G 5A, 11 SOG · Guenther 1G 5A, 9 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

11:55 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
19–12
61.3%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
48.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Dylan Guenther
DateScoreKempeGuenther
2026-03-28LAK 2–6 UTA1G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-22LAK 3–4 UTA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-08LAK 4–2 UTA1G 1A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-04-03LAK 4–2 UTA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-22LAK 5–3 UTA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-26LAK 3–2 UTA0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-01LAK 5–3 ARI0G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeGuenther

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Guenther done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 5–2. Kempe had 8 points (3 goals) and Guenther had 6 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →