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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Laferriere vs John Carlson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Laferriere's 1.79.

Laferriere had 44 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games.

This week Laferriere has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Carlson for 1.6 ESPN points to Laferriere's 1.3.

John Carlson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Laferriere's biggest edges: Hits 255, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.034, 20+ mph bursts 182.

Carlson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Ascension score 53, Offensive-zone start % 52.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Laferriere

1.79

fantasy points per game

John Carlson

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, John Carlson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLaferriereCarlson
Goals (+2)0.480.37
Assists (+1)0.390.61
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.23
Hits (+0.1)0.320.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Laferriere vs Carlson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LaferriereCarlson
1Team record in 6 meetings5
0Points in those games3

Laferriere 0G 0A, 14 SOG · Carlson 1G 2A, 10 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Laferriere's side)

6:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Laferriere's side

Shot attempts
6–4
60.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.2
23.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Laferriere and John Carlson
DateScoreLaferriereCarlson
2025-12-02LAK 1–3 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-17LAK 1–2 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-13LAK 3–0 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-22LAK 1–3 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-07LAK 3–4 WSH0G 0A 2S1G 1A 4S
2023-11-29LAK 1–2 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LaferriereCarlson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Laferriere

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

John Carlson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.6 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Laferriere or John Carlson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Carlson projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Laferriere's 1.79. Laferriere had 44 points in 82 games; Carlson had 60 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Laferriere or John Carlson?
On 2025-26 numbers, John Carlson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Laferriere and Carlson done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Laferriere's team went 1–5. Laferriere had 0 points (0 goals) and Carlson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →