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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Clayton Keller

Alex OvechkinAlex OvechkinCapitals · Left wingvsClayton KellerClayton KellerMammoth · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Keller has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Keller for 3.1 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.9.

Clayton Keller has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Hits 134, Transition attempts /60 1.45, On-ice PDO 1030.

Keller's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 147, Top skating speed 22.8, Plus/minus +21.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Clayton Keller

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Clayton Keller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinKeller
Goals (+2)0.730.59
Assists (+1)0.430.83
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.28
Hits (+0.1)0.160.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Keller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinKeller
6Team record in 14 meetings8
15Points in those games17

Ovechkin 9G 6A, 61 SOG · Keller 3G 14A, 36 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

6:11 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
3–9
25.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.6
9.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Clayton Keller
DateScoreOvechkinKeller
2026-03-26WSH 7–4 UTA3G 0A 5S0G 3A 4S
2026-03-03WSH 2–3 UTA0G 0A 4S0G 2A 2S
2025-02-09WSH 4–5 UTA0G 3A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-18WSH 6–2 UTA2G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-04WSH 0–6 ARI0G 0A 3S0G 3A 2S
2023-01-19WSH 4–0 ARI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-05WSH 2–3 ARI1G 0A 6S0G 1A 2S
2021-10-29WSH 2–0 ARI1G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2020-02-15WSH 1–3 ARI0G 0A 8S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-11WSH 3–4 ARI0G 1A 7S1G 0A 3S
2018-12-06WSH 4–2 ARI1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2018-11-11WSH 1–4 ARI0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinKeller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Clayton Keller

3games (2 left)

3.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Clayton Keller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Clayton Keller projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Keller had 88 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Clayton Keller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Clayton Keller leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Keller done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 6–8. Ovechkin had 15 points (9 goals) and Keller had 17 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →