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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Collin Graf

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Graf has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.3, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Power-play share 91.6%.

Graf's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.2, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021, 20+ mph bursts 123.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinGraf
Goals (+2)0.730.49
Assists (+1)0.430.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.14
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Graf

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinGraf
2Team record in 3 meetings1
5Points in those games2

Ovechkin 3G 2A, 11 SOG · Graf 1G 1A, 6 SOG

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

10:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
8–9
47.1%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
64.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Collin Graf
DateScoreOvechkinGraf
2026-01-15WSH 2–3 SJS0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-12-03WSH 7–1 SJS2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-15WSH 5–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinGraf

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Collin Graf in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Collin Graf?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Graf done against each other?
In 3 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 2–1. Ovechkin had 5 points (3 goals) and Graf had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →