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Who to start · 2025-26

Collin Graf vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Graf has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Graf for 1.4 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Collin Graf has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Graf's biggest edges: Plus/minus +6, Top skating speed 22.9, 20+ mph bursts 123.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 41.8%, Power-play points 13, Power-play time per game 2:13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Collin Graf

1.40

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGrafTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.520.61
Assists (+1)0.310.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.20
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Graf vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GrafTarasenko
4Team record in 4 meetings0
1Points in those games3

Graf 1G 0A, 3 SOG · Tarasenko 3G 0A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (Graf's side)

11:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Graf's side

Shot attempts
9–4
69.2%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
94.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Collin Graf and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreGrafTarasenko
2025-12-31SJS 4–3 MIN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-11-11SJS 2–1 MIN1G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-26SJS 6–5 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-14SJS 6–3 DET0G 0A 1S2G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GrafTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Collin Graf or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Graf had 46 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Collin Graf or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Collin Graf leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Graf and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Graf's team went 4–0. Graf had 1 points (1 goals) and Tarasenko had 3 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →