Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tarasenko for 1.2 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Parker Kelly has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Corsi 56.9%, Fenwick 56.2%, Plus/minus +18.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 2:13, Power-play share 44.9%, Power-play points 13.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.39
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 3G 1A, 18 SOG · Tarasenko 3G 5A, 31 SOG
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
27:35 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 41–24
- 63.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.5
- 70.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 · PO | COL 4–3 MIN | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-05-11 · PO | COL 5–2 MIN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-05-09 · PO | COL 1–5 MIN | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-05-05 · PO | COL 5–2 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-03 · PO | COL 9–6 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-08 | COL 3–2 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-26 | COL 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-21 | COL 5–1 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-25 | COL 5–2 DET | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-07 | COL 2–1 DET | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-09 | OTT 0–2 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-04 | OTT 0–6 FLA | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 9–5. Kelly had 4 points (3 goals) and Tarasenko had 8 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →