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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Dylan Guenther

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.9.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Hits 134, On-ice PDO 1030.

Guenther's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 217, Goals above expected +4.4, Top skating speed 23.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Dylan Guenther

2.36

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinGuenther
Goals (+2)0.731.20
Assists (+1)0.430.39
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.32
Hits (+0.1)0.160.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Guenther

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinGuenther
3Team record in 7 meetings4
10Points in those games9

Ovechkin 6G 4A, 32 SOG · Guenther 5G 4A, 30 SOG

2Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

2:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
3–3
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
45.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Guenther
DateScoreOvechkinGuenther
2026-03-26WSH 7–4 UTA3G 0A 5S2G 0A 8S
2026-03-03WSH 2–3 UTA0G 0A 4S1G 1A 3S
2025-02-09WSH 4–5 UTA0G 3A 4S1G 1A 5S
2024-11-18WSH 6–2 UTA2G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-03-03WSH 2–5 ARI0G 1A 8S1G 2A 5S
2023-01-19WSH 4–0 ARI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-05WSH 2–3 ARI1G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinGuenther

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Dylan Guenther

3games (2 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Guenther?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Guenther done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 3–4. Ovechkin had 10 points (6 goals) and Guenther had 9 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →