Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Ovechkin vs Dylan Guenther
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.
Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games.
This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Guenther has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guenther for 3.2 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.9.
Dylan Guenther has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Hits 134, On-ice PDO 1030.
Guenther's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 217, Goals above expected +4.4, Top skating speed 23.0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 2 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Ovechkin
1.84
fantasy points per game
Dylan Guenther
2.36
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ovechkin | Guenther |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 1.20 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Guenther
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ovechkin 6G 4A, 32 SOG · Guenther 5G 4A, 30 SOG
On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)
2:27 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–3
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.2
- 45.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ovechkin | Guenther |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | WSH 7–4 UTA | 3G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 8S |
| 2026-03-03 | WSH 2–3 UTA | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2025-02-09 | WSH 4–5 UTA | 0G 3A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-11-18 | WSH 6–2 UTA | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-03 | WSH 2–5 ARI | 0G 1A 8S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2023-01-19 | WSH 4–0 ARI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-05 | WSH 2–3 ARI | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Ovechkin
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Dylan Guenther
3games (2 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Guenther in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Guenther had 73 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Dylan Guenther?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ovechkin and Guenther done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 3–4. Ovechkin had 10 points (6 goals) and Guenther had 9 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

