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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ovechkin for 1.9 ESPN points to Ferraro's 1.5.

Alex Ovechkin has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 98.1%, Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Power-play share 91.6%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.3, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 150.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.84

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Ovechkin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinFerraro
Goals (+2)0.730.29
Assists (+1)0.430.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.110.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.13
Hits (+0.1)0.160.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.120.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinFerraro
7Team record in 11 meetings4
13Points in those games2

Ovechkin 7G 6A, 48 SOG · Ferraro 0G 2A, 16 SOG

4Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Ovechkin blocked 0 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 1 of Ovechkin's.

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

14:24 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
12–16
42.9%
Expected goals
0.7–0.5
60.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreOvechkinFerraro
2026-01-15WSH 2–3 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-03WSH 7–1 SJS2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-15WSH 5–1 SJS1G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-27WSH 1–2 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-29WSH 3–1 SJS0G 2A 7S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-04WSH 8–3 SJS2G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-02-12WSH 1–4 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-26WSH 1–4 SJS0G 0A 8S0G 0A 0S
2021-11-20WSH 4–0 SJS2G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2020-01-05WSH 5–4 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-03WSH 5–2 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.5 pts
    Likely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Ovechkin projects to 1.84 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Ovechkin leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Ferraro done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 7–4. Ovechkin had 13 points (7 goals) and Ferraro had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →