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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Ovechkin vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84.

Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Ovechkin has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Ovechkin's 1.9.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Ovechkin's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1030, Hardest shot 97.3, Hits 134.

Jarvis's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 171, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Top skating speed 23.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Ovechkin

1.85

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromOvechkinJarvis
Goals (+2)0.780.90
Assists (+1)0.390.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.32
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.100.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ovechkin vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

OvechkinJarvis
8Team record in 19 meetings11
15Points in those games14

Ovechkin 10G 5A, 63 SOG · Jarvis 8G 6A, 45 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Ovechkin blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 3 of Ovechkin's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Ovechkin's side)

9:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Ovechkin's side

Shot attempts
11–15
42.3%
Expected goals
0.8–0.5
60.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Ovechkin and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreOvechkinJarvis
2026-01-31WSH 4–3 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-11WSH 2–3 CAR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2025-11-11WSH 4–1 CAR1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-15 · POWSH 1–3 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S
2025-05-12 · POWSH 2–5 CAR1G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2025-05-10 · POWSH 0–4 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-05-08 · POWSH 3–1 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-05-06 · POWSH 1–2 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-10WSH 5–4 CAR0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2025-04-02WSH 1–5 CAR1G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2024-11-03WSH 2–4 CAR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-05WSH 2–4 CAR2G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

OvechkinJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Ovechkin

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.9 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Alex Ovechkin or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Ovechkin's 1.84. Ovechkin had 64 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Ovechkin or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ovechkin and Jarvis done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Ovechkin's team went 8–11. Ovechkin had 15 points (10 goals) and Jarvis had 14 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →