Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Connor Bedard
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left; Bedard has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.3 ESPN points to Bedard's 2.2.
Alex Tuch has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Plus/minus +24, High-danger chances 53.6%, Fenwick 52.2%.
Bedard's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.25, Power-play share 74.8%, Power-play time per game 3:29.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.26
fantasy points per game
Connor Bedard
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | Bedard |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.84 | 0.87 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.20 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs Bedard
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 4G 6A, 12 SOG · Bedard 0G 4A, 9 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Tuch's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
9:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–6
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.2
- 73.2%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | Bedard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | BUF 5–1 CHI | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-21 | BUF 9–3 CHI | 0G 4A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-12-27 | BUF 6–2 CHI | 3G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-10-19 | BUF 4–2 CHI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-19 | BUF 3–2 CHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Connor Bedard
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ VGK
- Thu, Oct 1 @ UTA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ BUF2.2 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Connor Bedard in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Connor Bedard's 2.24. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Bedard had 75 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Connor Bedard?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and Bedard done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 5–0. Tuch had 10 points (4 goals) and Bedard had 4 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or Bedard?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 2 and Bedard 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →