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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex Tuch vs Kirill Marchenko

Alex TuchAlex TuchCapitals · Right wingvsKirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to Marchenko's 1.8.

Alex Tuch has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tuch's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Faceoffs won 46.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.9%, Power-play share 77.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.08.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex Tuch

2.42

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex Tuch has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTuchMarchenko
Goals (+2)1.030.63
Assists (+1)0.390.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.29
Hits (+0.1)0.100.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.570.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tuch vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TuchMarchenko
5Team record in 10 meetings5
8Points in those games8

Tuch 2G 6A, 20 SOG · Marchenko 4G 4A, 27 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other0

Tuch blocked 3 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 0 of Tuch's.

On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)

9:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side

Shot attempts
13–10
56.5%
Expected goals
0.6–0.6
49.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex Tuch and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreTuchMarchenko
2026-04-09BUF 5–0 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-03BUF 1–5 CBJ0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-28BUF 3–4 CBJ0G 2A 0S0G 1A 6S
2025-04-10BUF 2–3 CBJ0G 0A 4S0G 1A 5S
2024-10-17BUF 4–6 CBJ0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-23BUF 2–1 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2023-12-30BUF 3–2 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-19BUF 4–9 CBJ0G 1A 1S3G 0A 4S
2023-04-14BUF 5–2 CBJ1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-07BUF 9–4 CBJ1G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TuchMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex Tuch

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Alex Tuch or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex Tuch projects to 2.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex Tuch or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex Tuch leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tuch and Marchenko done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 5–5. Tuch had 8 points (2 goals) and Marchenko had 8 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →